What will Italy look like in 2050? Demographic projections, built on births, deaths and migration, sketch a smaller, older country — but with opposite trajectories from town to town. While some areas keep growing, thousands of municipalities will lose a sizeable share of their inhabitants.
Projections are not destiny: they are a "no-policy-change" scenario meant to show where intervention is needed. But the underlying direction is clear.
Who will grow most
The 15 towns with the strongest projected growth by 2050
Estimated population change 2025→2050
Who will empty out most
At the opposite end, the towns with the most severe projected decline: small inland centres where the elderly already dominate and the young cohorts needed for renewal are missing.
The 15 towns with the strongest projected decline by 2050
Estimated population change 2025→2050
The 3D map of 2050
Each municipality is a column: its height represents the projected population change to 2050. Drag to rotate and see the contrast between growing and shrinking areas.
3D map: 2050 population projection
Height proportional to projected change — drag to rotate, scroll to zoom
Check each municipality's 2050 projection in the Demographics section and compare scenarios in the Compare section. 2050 is closer than it seems: the choices of the coming years will decide which projections come true.